Ether outpaces Bitcoin’s trend change: Is ETH on track for a 20% rally?
05.12.2025
19691
ETH outperformed Bitcoin in terms of spot ETF flows and short-term returns. Technical charts suggest traders are positioning for a 20% upmove.
Ether outpaces Bitcoin’s trend change: Is ETH on track for a 20% rally?
ETH is absolutely smoking BTC right now — not just in price action, but in ETF flows too. Over the past two weeks, spot ETH ETFs pulled in $360M in net inflows while BTC only managed $120M. That's a 3x difference, signaling a major capital rotation into Ethereum. The narrative is clear: investors are shifting preference, at least for now.
- • Spot ETH ETFs have attracted three times more inflows than BTC, strengthening their relative momentum.
- • ETH’s high-time-frame price action exceeds Bitcoin, suggesting Ether has bottomed.
Retail accumulates Ether, but one more pullback could occur
CryptoQuant data shows retail went HAM when ETH dipped below $2,700 on Nov. 21 — a classic demand-led rebound. This mirrors the March–May accumulation phase where early retail activity was followed by a deeper correction. Translation: we might see one final liquidity shakeout before a stronger rally kicks in.
Meanwhile, Ether’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) sits at 0.22 — balanced, not euphoric. It hasn’t gone negative, meaning holders aren’t panicking. As long as NUPL stays above 0.20, sentiment stays supportive for a rebound once catalysts align.
ETH trumps Bitcoin, for now
Technically, ETH has a cleaner high-time-frame setup. It just confirmed a break of structure (BOS) by pushing above $3,200 — flipping resistance and signaling a trend shift. BTC, on the other hand, still needs a daily close above $96K to confirm its own breakout. ETH is structurally ahead.
The ETH/BTC daily chart is even more bullish. The pair broke above a 30-day consolidation zone and successfully retested the 200-day SMA — a trend baseline that’s held since July. Historically, this combo signals sustained ETH outperformance.
If BTC stabilizes above $94K and closes above $96K, ETH is primed to extend its uptrend. First target: retest $3,650. If momentum accelerates, next stop is $3,900 — a juicy 20% pump from current prices where external liquidity clusters are waiting.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
#Retail Investors#Ethereum Price Growth#Cryptocurrency market#Spot ETFs#Technical analysis
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